Market Update – June 28 – Month-, Quarter- and Half Year End Trades?





USD underpressure (USDIndex 103.40), Stocks overnight mixed, but up currently into EU open. Yields were sunk by two poor note auctions after an early risk-on bid weighed on the bond market. JGB yields rose on, with the yield curve widening to its highest level since 2015. Oil up at 111.45, Gold steady. US Durrables report & pending home sales surprised on the high side, while the Dallas Fed index plunged. Today’s German consumer confidence not as bad as feared but the headline looks worse than it did during the pandemic and the resulting pressure on consumption will add to recession risks not just in Germany.

  • USDIndex down to 103.40, As keen investors headed for safety and the US Dollar was capped, although overall levels don’t look very different to last morning.
  • EquitiesNikkei and ASX closed with gains of 0.7% and 0.9%. Wall Street stumbled and lost traction with the USA100 falling -0.72%. The USA500 was down -0.30%, and the USA30 lost -0.20%.
  • Yields 10-year was up about 9 bps to test 3.21% but ended at 3.194%.
  • Oil extends gains – $111.38. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates looked unlikely to be able to boost output significantly while political unrest in Libya and Ecuador added to those supply concerns. – both produced at maximum capacity.
  • Gold pullback to $1,827.
  • FX MarketsEURUSD returns the 1.06 barrier, USDJPY is at 135.68, Cable trades at 1.2290 now, ranging since Friday.

Today – Focus is on ECB President Lagarde at the ECB Forum on Central Banking in Sintra, Portugal and US Consumer Confidence later on.

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) AUDJPY (+0.69%). Broke 3-day’s peak and trades above 94.00. MAs aligning higher, MACD lines are positive configurated, RSI 67 but flattened. H1 ATR 0.214Daily ATR 1.507.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

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Having completed her five-year-long studies in the UK, Andria Pichidi has been awarded a BSc in Mathematics and Physics from the University of Bath and a MSc degree in Mathematics, while she has a postgraduate diploma (PGdip) in Actuarial Science from the University of Leicester.


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